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| Betting notes for Sunday
is set to make his second start at the renovated Kauffman Stadium. He allowed just one run in five frames in his 2026 home debut. At some point, homers will pick up with the altered dimensions, but so far this season, the average fly ball distance is three feet shorter than at the same time last season, benefiting fly ball pitchers like Cameron. Adding to his appeal is facing a lineup averaging the second fewest runs per game in the league.
left his last start early with forearm tendinitis but has been cleared to take the hill when the host the . He recorded a quality start in his opener but left his second outing after completing just two frames. The Twins’ offense is off to a surprisingly solid start, averaging the eighth most runs per game in MLB, but they’re also striking out at the seventh highest clip.
After an impressive major league debut featuring eight strikeouts with just one walk in 5 1/3 innings, gave up nine hits over four innings in his next outing, but only four of the knocks registered an exit velocity over 95 mph. For the season, the rookie sports a stingy 27.1% HardHit%. On Sunday, Painter draws the at home. He’ll face a lineup that puts the ball in play, but with the seventh lowest HardHit% on the young season.
The are averaging the 12th most runs per game, in part due to a below-average strikeout rate and above-average walk rate. On Sunday, they face and the at Wrigley Field. The visitors should be able to score some runs, with , , , and candidates for a productive afternoon.
This is not necessarily a red flag to avoid all Phillies hitters, but it’s worth noting that they struggle against sliders and are slated to face and the Diamondbacks. The veteran right-hander has more than doubled his slider usage to over 20%, and he’s throwing it harder than in previous seasons. In particular, , , , and sport a low wOBA on sliders.
