With just one Premier League win between Wolves and Southampton in 20 Premier League games, it’s difficult to back either side to emerge victorious this weekend. Interestingly, Wolves are on a five-game winning streak in their head-to-head history with the Saints. However, Russell Martin’s newly-promoted side will be buoyed by their 1-0 home win over Everton last weekend.
Southampton have recently put up stiff resistance against Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium. They only lost 1-0 to Pep Guardiola’s side and had more than 43% possession, which is far more than most visiting sides enjoy at City. Martin’s men will seek to frustrate Wanderers, and a point would benefit Southampton more than it would the winless Wolves.
West Ham United have won their last two home league games, scoring six goals and conceding only two. The Hammers welcome lowly Everton to the London Stadium, hoping to achieve their third consecutive win. The Toffees lost at Southampton last week, with Sean Dyche’s men still looking over their shoulders at the relegation zone.
Things look promising for West Ham, provided they can score the first goal of the game. They are currently averaging three points per game at home when breaking the deadlock. Meanwhile, Everton average zero points per game when conceding first on the road. A goal-fest is unlikely if Everton have their way, as six of their last eight meetings ended with less than three goals scored.
Liverpool and Aston Villa both have UEFA Champions League action to attend to on Wednesday night. Villa face a tricky trip to Bruges and Liverpool will play at home to Bayer Leverkusen. This may have an impact, with the Reds likely to have more recovery time between Wednesday night and Saturday evening.
Liverpool have the meanest defence in the league, conceding just six goals in ten games. They’ve also averaged 1.9 goals scored per game. At home, they’ve kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches at Anfield. Meanwhile, Villa have averaged two goals scored per game on the road, but they have also conceded 1.80 goals per game. All of this points to an entertaining contest, with the hosts running out eventual winners.
Matchday 10 was another frustrating weekend for the newly-promoted Ipswich, who were denied a stonewall penalty and suffered a questionable red card that prevented them from landing their first league win of the season at home to Leicester. To compound their misery, the Tractor Boys travel to Tottenham this Sunday knowing that Ange Postecoglu’s men are averaging 2.40 points per game at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Interestingly, Spurs have fallen behind in 80% of their home games so far this season. Despite failing to win, Ipswich have also scored first in 40% of their away games. With Spurs playing in the Europa League on Thursday evening, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Tractor Boys take the lead before Spurs battle back to take a comfortable three points.
Third-placed Nottingham Forest have to wait until Sunday afternoon to play again. Nuno Espirito Santo’s men are in red-hot form, losing just one of their ten league games so far this season. They average 1.60 points per game at home and are about to entertain Newcastle at The City Ground this weekend, with the Magpies averaging just one point per game on their travels.
Forest have kept clean sheets in their last two home games, defeating ten-man West Ham 3-0 after a narrow 1-0 win over Crystal Palace. The opposition have scored first in 80% of Newcastle’s away games, while Forest have scored first in 80% of their home games. All of this suggests Forest could get even more joy if they take an early lead.
Our Premier League predictions for Matchweek 11 feature wins for Liverpool, Tottenham, Nottingham Forest and West Ham. It’s hard to pick a winner between the basement clubs, with our expert tipping Wolves and Southampton to draw at Molineux.
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