Bayern should be expected to win against Wolfsburg by a scoreline of 4-1
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The Allianz Arena hosts a fascinating encounter as table-topping Bayern Munich welcome an in-form Wolfsburg, who will have the benefit of an extra day’s rest after playing on Tuesday night.
The Bavarians continue their relentless pursuit of reclaiming their throne after last season’s disappointment, meanwhile an article about recent transfer rumors linking Chelsea’s Christopher Nkunku to a move to Munich has added to the intrigue. However, the London club are reportedly demanding a substantial fee for the French forward’s services.
Bayern Munich’s domestic dominance this season has been remarkable, particularly at the Allianz Arena where they’ve transformed their home ground into a fortress. Their impressive record ahead of their midweek clash with Hoffenheim has seen them win 12 and draw three of 16 games. Their impressive home record boasts six wins and one draw, with 22 goals scored and only four conceded.
The recent response to their DFB-Pokal setback has been emphatic, with commanding victories of 4-2 and 5-1 showcasing their offensive prowess and mental resilience.
Wolfsburg arrive in Munich riding high after their spectacular 5-1 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach. Their sixth-place position, built on 8 wins and 3 draws from 17 matches, reflects their attacking strength, having scored 38 goals this season to rank among the league’s top scorers.
Furthermore, their away form has been particularly impressive, securing the third-best traveling record in the Bundesliga with 16 points from 8 games.
The probable lineup for Bayern in the “4-2-3-1”
Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Kim, Davies; Kimmich, Goretzka; Olise, Müller, Sané; Kane
The probable lineup for Wolfsburg in the “4-1-3-2”
Grabara; Fischer, Vavro, Koulierakis, Mæhle; Arnold; Gerhardt, Dárdai, Kamiński; Wind, Amoura.
Ahead of the midweek clash with Hoffenheim, Bayern’s home scoring rate was 3.14 goals per game, perfectly illustrating their attacking threat. Their recent response to a rare defeat has been emphatic, putting nine goals past their last two opponents at the Allianz Arena.
Seven of Bayern’s last 14 victories against Wolfsburg have featured at least four goals. The visitors’ games have frequently turned into goal-fests this season, with over 3.5 goals occurring in an impressive 65% of their league fixtures.
Bayern’s determination to reassert their dominance after last season’s disappointment adds psychological weight to this bet. Their home record this season, coupled with Wolfsburg’s attacking approach (they’ve scored in all but one of their 17 league games), suggests we’re likely to see another high-scoring Bayern victory.
Jonas Wind has netted 5 goals in his last 6 appearances for Wolfsburg. His role as the penalty taker, showcased in the recent match against Mönchengladbach, offers another path for creating goal-scoring chances.
The striker’s evolution this season has been impressive, already notching seven goals. Moreover, he is on track to exceed his previous Bundesliga best of 11 goals from last season. His tactical flexibility, dropping deep to participate in build-up play, makes him particularly dangerous against teams that play a high line – a characteristic of Bayern’s defensive setup.
Wind’s international pedigree (eight goals in 26 caps) and his strong aerial ability make him a constant threat, particularly given Bayern’s occasional vulnerability to crosses. His performance at Euro 2024 and subsequent form suggest a player at the peak of his confidence.
Both teams have scored in 13 (76%) of Wolfsburg’s 17 league games this season, with some incredible scorelines against the five teams currently ahead of them in the league table. There were victories of 4-3 against Mainz and 5-1 against RB Leipzig, as well as defeats of 2-1 to Frankfurt and 4-3 to Leverkusen. Additionally, this reverse fixture ended 3-2 in favor of Bayern.
The recent head-to-head record reinforces this trend, with both teams finding the net in three of the last four meetings and six of the last nine encounters. That five goal thriller on the opening weekend of the season demonstrated both of these teams’ attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities.
Wolfsburg’s impressive away scoring record of 19 goals in 8 games suggests they have the firepower to breach even Bayern’s formidable defence when playing on home soil. Bayern’s aggressive front foot style under Vincent Kompany, while productive, often leaves spaces that can be exploited by counter-attacking teams.