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| Betting notes for Monday
High pitch counts have twice prevented from going the requisite five innings to be credited with a win. In a combined nine frames over those outings, he yielded only three earned runs but walked five to go along with eight punchouts. In the other game, Warren lasted 5 2/3 innings with six strikeouts and no walks. Something has to give on Monday when the host the . The visitors bring the second-highest strikeout rate and the sixth-highest walk rate into the Bronx.
‘ surface stats are misleading, as a high left-on-base rate results in his ERA estimators landing around two runs higher than his actual 2.55 mark, and a low BABIP has deflated his WHIP. Quirks like this are common after just three starts. More telling is a modest 14 strikeouts with eight walks in 17 2/3 innings. On the other hand, Holmes’ combined swinging and called strikes are higher than last year, but his strikeout rate is down 5.3 percentage points. More strikeouts will help fend off inevitable BABIP and left-on-base regression. On Monday, he has a favorable matchup with the hosting the .
has yet to live up to the hype he received in drafting season, though his xFIP and SIERA are well over a run better than his actual 5.63 ERA. He relies heavily on spin in his five-pitch repertoire, and the specialize in refining pitchers of this ilk, so expect Burrows to improve as the season progresses. Next up is a road date with the and the fourth-lowest wOBA in the young season.
is off to a sluggish start to the season, with nine walks and four homers allowed over his three outings, spanning 16 innings. He is too talented not to come around, but in leagues with games started limits, leaving him on reserve for this early-week road matchup is the safe play. This is the busiest week of the season to date, so there will be ample chances to deploy the maximum number of starters. The Marlins visit the Braves, so Perez faces a lineup with the fourth-highest wOBA, fueled by the second-highest home run rate and fourth-lowest strikeout rate in the league.
‘s xFIP and SIERA are over twice as high as his actual 2.51 ERA. He’s due for a steep correction, which could come Monday when the have a road date against the surprisingly productive lineup. (33% available in ESPN leagues) and (23% available) have rosterships over the usual 50% cutoff to be labeled as streamers, but it’s worth checking in with them on an abbreviated eight-game slate. , , and are also options.
